The War Trade Just Went Into Reverse
Posted June 12, 2026
With Trump calling off Iran strikes, the defense trade unwound — and RTX, the prime most levered to the missile-restock cycle, led the giveback.
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Posted June 12, 2026
With Trump calling off Iran strikes, the defense trade unwound — and RTX, the prime most levered to the missile-restock cycle, led the giveback.
Sip the tea
Posted June 12, 2026
Wholesale prices hit 6.5% — the fastest since 2022 — yet stocks ripped 900 points as Trump called off Iran strikes. The market is trading the war premium, not the CPI.
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Posted June 12, 2026
Brent's slide to a two-month low near $89 lifted cruise stocks. Carnival jumped ~8% and Norwegian ~6% — though part of Carnival's pop was a rebound from a data-breach drop.
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Posted June 12, 2026
Energy was the laggard in Thursday's rally. Chevron and Big Oil slipped as Brent fell toward $89 — the same de-escalation that lifted airlines and cruise lines.
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Posted June 11, 2026
May CPI hit a 3-year-high 4.2% and the Dow dumped 953 points as traders flipped from pricing rate cuts to a 63% chance of a hike by October.
Sip the teaPosted June 11, 2026
Adobe drops Q2 numbers after the close with the stock down ~29% on the year. The whole AI-vs-software debate in one ticker.
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Posted June 11, 2026
Homebuilders are the purest rate-sensitivity trade on the board. With mortgage rates back at multi-week highs, D.R. Horton sits in the blast radius.
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Posted June 11, 2026
Gold is the textbook crisis hedge, yet it fell 2.4% into a war and a 3-year-high inflation print. The culprit is a surging dollar. Newmont is the leveraged read.
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Posted June 9, 2026
Marvell Technology joins the S&P 500 on June 22. With $8-10 billion in forced index buying ahead and Nvidia's CEO endorsement, the passive flow mechanics are turbo-charged.
Sip the teaPosted June 9, 2026
SOXX ripped 6% higher Monday as the semiconductor sector staged its fastest reversal of 2026. Jensen Huang's SK Hynix deal and the Iran-Israel ceasefire flipped the script.
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Posted June 9, 2026
Amazon signed a multibillion-dollar fiber optic deal with Corning for its AI data center buildout. It's the third hyperscaler mega-deal Corning has landed this year.
Sip the teaPosted June 9, 2026
Micron cratered 13% Friday on the Broadcom selloff then bounced 10% Monday. Wells Fargo raised its price target as AI memory demand accelerates.
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